Population Of Elders Is Exploding

Since the beginning of recorded human history, children have outnumbered older people. Very soon this will change.

For the first time in history, people age 65 and over will outnumber children under age 5. This trend is emerging around the globe.  Some nations experienced more than a doubling of average life expectancy during the 20th century.


The elderly population explosion is a result of impressive increases in life expectancy.

Life Expectancy 1776 = 35 years

Life Expectancy 2000 = 77 years

Life expectancy at birth in Japan now approaches 82 years, the highest level among the world’s more developed countries, and life expectancy is at least 79 years in several other more developed countries.

An important feature of population aging is the progressive aging of the older population itself.

Over time, more older people survive to even more advanced ages. The number of centenarians will grow significantly for the first time in history..

In the next 10 to 15 years, the loss of health and life in every region of the world, including Africa, will be greater from non-communicable or chronic diseases, such as heart disease, cancer, and diabetes, than from infectious and parasitic diseases.  This represents a shift in disease epidemiology that has become the focus of increasing attention in light of global aging. Because of chronic disease, the oldest of the old have the highest population of disability that requires long-term care.


The growth of the oldest old population has a number of implications:

Pensions and retirement income will need to cover a much longer period of life. Health care costs will rise even if disability rates decline somewhat. Intergenerational relationships will take on an added dimension as the number of grandparents and great-grandparents increase and remain alive for long periods.

As people live longer and have fewer children, family structures are transformed. This has important implications in terms of providing care to older people. In our country that has a very low birth rate, future generations will have few if any siblings. As a result of this local and global trend toward having fewer children, people will have less familial care and support as they age.

The number of people 65 years old + is expected to rise by 101%  by 2030. However, the number of family members who are available to provide care for these older adults is expected to increase by only 25%.

The window of opportunity for social and economic reform is closing fast as the pace of population aging accelerates. For example, while Europe currently has four people of working age for every elderly person, it will have only two workers per elderly person by 2050. There are only a few years to intensify efforts before demographic effects come to bear.

By the year 2025, all survivors of the Baby Boom generation will be between the ages of 61 and 79.


That will have a dramatic impact on the growth of the elderly population. By 2025, Florida (with 26 %) would remain the leading State with more than a quarter of its population classified as elderly. Between 1995 and 2025 the number of elderly are projected to double in 21 States. Between 1990 and 2020, the population aged 65 to 75 is projected to grow 74 % percent.  People 65+ represented 12.4% of the population in year 2000… but that percentage will grow to 19% of the population by 2030.

By 2030, there will be about 72.1 million 65+ older persons… more than twice their number in 2000.

1 in 5 people will be 65+


1 in 20 people will be 85+


People  65= 34,120,000

People  85=  6,123,000


People  65= 47,363,000

People  85=  7,269,000


People  65= 61,850,000

People  85=  9,603,000


People  65= 65,844,000

People  85=  20,861,000

By the year 2070 there will be

21,665,000  = 65+

18,354,000  = 75+

10,408,000  = 85+

3,686,000  = 95+

There will be 2,376,000 people alive who will be over 100 years old.

States will face significant shortfalls in the long-term care workforce, particularly among paraprofessionals delivering home and community based services to the elderly. The National Governors Association Center for Best Practices 2004 report, Measuring the Years: State Aging Trends and Indicators:

“highlights workforce needs in healthcare arising from demographic shifts and the need to prevent and control rising levels of chronic disease.”


One thought on “Population Of Elders Is Exploding

  1. 7 medical Questions to Protect Elderly Patients in Hospitals, old age homes

    1. Do the nurses and doctors routinely screen for or identify high-risk repeat sick patients? Or do they not bother, care to at all still?
    2. How does the hospital deal with the patient’s severe pain if it develops? Replied indifferently by saying it is not their pain, not their concern, not their job, but that of another department’s..
    3. What does the hospital really do to keep patients from becoming disoriented? Let’s a junior incompetent nurse deal with it..
    4. What policies are in place to make sure patients get adequate sleep? and/or Prescriptions filled.. pretentious ones…
    5. If my family member needs a urinary catheter or other bedside interventions, how does the hospital decide when to remove them? When the patient complains or gets an infection?
    6. Will the physicians and pharmacy staff review my family member’s medications often to identify medications that increase risk? Not likely!
    7. How effective is the patient’s complaint procedure? Ha ha ha..

    Often you’ll hear nothing but gripes and complains about their bosses, their superiors, their parents and the government, nothing about blaming themselves or looking towards constructive solutions to their so called problems

    ”There’s no downside for the physicians” who order inappropriate psychotropics, “Physicians aren’t being fined,” “Physicians don’t have any citations against them.” Nurses included now.

    California’s nursing disciplinary system is disgraceful. The state currently does not have a standardized method of monitoring suspensions or firings of registered nurses. The major nursing unions in California, opposed a bill for, primarily, a mandatory reporting clause that requires all employers to notify regulators about any Nurses firings for serious violations, such as gross negligence or physically harming a patient. California’s Board of Registered Nursing recently discovered that 3,500 registered nurses have been disciplined in other states.

    Canadian health care ranks second to last compared with seven industrialized nations

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